Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.520532 0.574975 0.633620 0.701639 0.778546 0.863023 0.963129
2025-09-14 0.425722 0.499422 0.584738 0.691433 0.822176 0.978292 1.180505
2025-09-21 0.371823 0.453814 0.553379 0.684428 0.854218 1.069314 1.366525
2025-09-28 0.325059 0.408822 0.514321 0.658788 0.854348 1.114086 1.492381
2025-10-05 0.303826 0.392689 0.508417 0.672812 0.904694 1.226854 1.720596
2025-10-12 0.285320 0.377654 0.501478 0.683193 0.949145 1.334079 1.952466
2025-10-19 0.267859 0.362056 0.491700 0.687574 0.983976 1.429348 2.176774
2025-10-26 0.252568 0.347935 0.482326 0.690871 1.016362 1.522911 2.409032
2025-11-02 0.240189 0.336804 0.476003 0.697536 1.053657 1.626948 2.671321
2025-11-09 0.223494 0.318039 0.456790 0.682338 1.054078 1.670051 2.832174
2025-11-16 0.214070 0.309361 0.451944 0.688981 1.090202 1.776028 3.120253
2025-11-23 0.202710 0.296913 0.440281 0.683385 1.104728 1.845306 3.347924
2025-11-30 0.193863 0.287941 0.433668 0.685940 1.134215 1.945827 3.654950
2025-12-07 0.183039 0.275200 0.420185 0.675801 1.140202 2.003647 3.884257
2025-12-14 0.173859 0.264493 0.409231 0.668990 1.151286 2.071853 4.145496
2025-12-21 0.161973 0.248711 0.388883 0.644035 1.126090 2.065872 4.241577
2025-12-28 0.158158 0.245941 0.390113 0.657685 1.175467 2.214995 4.715874
2026-01-04 0.153964 0.242261 0.389494 0.667788 1.218719 2.356361 5.197098
2026-01-11 0.149069 0.237100 0.385941 0.672052 1.250531 2.476877 5.648737
2026-01-18 0.144331 0.231935 0.382032 0.675260 1.280343 2.596359 6.120107
2026-01-25 0.140398 0.227940 0.379935 0.681745 1.317527 2.736909 6.675647
2026-02-01 0.133585 0.218541 0.367515 0.666956 1.307632 2.766566 6.927368
2026-02-08 0.130220 0.215093 0.365793 0.673420 1.344783 2.912946 7.546578